Oscar Predictions (November Update)

With The holidays around the corner, we are starting to narrow down the field before the early awards start next month. With some of the later releases now having been screened, we can start to really dive into the meat of the season. It's a long way to go still, but I think there are 4 locks for the best picture nomination, with the rest ranging from near locks to maybes.

Best Picture

1. Belfast

2. King Richard

3. The Power of the Dog

4. Dune

5. Licorice Pizza

6. Don't Look Up

7. Nightmare Alley

8. Tick, tick... Boom!

9. The Tragedy of Macbeth

10. Being The Ricardos

Best Director

1. Keneth Branagh for Belfast

2. Denis Villeneuve for Dune

3. Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog

4. Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza

5. Reinaldo Marcus Green for King Richard

Best Actress in a Leading Role

1. Kristen Stewart for Spencer

2. Nicole Kidman for Being The Ricardos

3. Jessica Chastain for The Eyes of Tammy Faye

4. Lady Gaga for House of Gucci

5. Frances McDormand for The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Actor in a Leading Role

1. Will Smith for King Richard

2. Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog

3. Andrew Garfield for Tick, tick... Boom!

4. Denzel Washington for The Tragedy of Macbeth

5. Leonardo Dicaprio for Don't Look Up

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

1. Caitriona Balfe for Belfast

2. Kristen Dunst for The Power of the Dog

3. Aujanue Ellis for King Richard

4. Anne Dowd for Mass

5. Cate Blanchett for Nightmare Alley

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Jaime Dornan for Belfast

2. Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog

3. Ciaran Hinds for Belfast

4. Jared Leto for House of Gucci

5. Jason Issacs for Mass

Best Original Screenplay

1. Licorice Pizza

2. Belfast

3. King Richard

4. Don't Look Up

5. Being the Ricardos

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. The Power of the Dog

2. Nightmare Alley

3. The Lost Daughter

4. The Tragedy of Macbeth

5. Dune

Technical Categories

Best Cinematography

1. Dune

2. The Power of the Dog

3. The Tragedy of Macbeth

4. Nightmare Alley

5. Belfast

Best Costume Design

1. Cruella

2. Nightmare Alley

3. Dune

4. House of Gucci

5. Spencer

Best Film Editing

1. Dune

2. Belfast

3. King Richard

4. Don't Look Up

5. Tick, tick... Boom!

Best Production Design

1. Nightmare Alley

2. Dune

3. West Side Story

4. The French Dispatch

5. The Tragedy of Macbeth

Best Sound

1. Dune

2. No Time to Die

3. West Side Story

4. Belfast

5. Tick, tick... Boom!

Best Visual Effects

1. Dune

2. Eternals

3. The Matrix Restrictions

4. Godzilla vs. Kong

5. Spiderman: No Way Home

Best Animated Feature

1. Luca

2. Flee

3. The Mitchells vs the Machines

4. Encanto

5. Belle