Having now seen all the later releases along with awards bodies such as the Golden Globes Critic's Choice Awards announcing their Nominees, The field is getting clear. I would say we have 6 locks for Best Picture, with the rest ranging from very strong to iffy.
Best Picture
Belfast
West Side Story
The Power of the Dog
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
CODA
Don't Look Up
Tick, tick... Boom!
Being the Ricardos
Best Director
Denis Villeneuve for Dune
Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
Steven Speilberg for West Side Story
Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Kristen Stewart for Spencer
Nicole Kidman for Being the Ricardos
Lady Gaga for House of Gucci
Oliva Colman for The Lost Daughter
Jessica Chastain for The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Will Smith for King Richard
Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield for Tick, tick... Boom!
Denzel Washington for The Tragedy of Macbeth
Peter Dinklage for Cyrano
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Ariana Debose for West Side Story
Catriona Balfe for Belfast
Aunjanue Ellis for King Richard
Kristen Dunst for The Power of the Dog
Rita Moreno for West Side Story
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Kodie Smitt-Mcphee for The Power of the Dog
Ciaran Hinds for Belfast
Jaime Dorman for Belfast
Troy Kotsur for CODA
Jared Leto for House of Gucci
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Power of the Dog
CODA
The Lost Daughter
West Side Story
Dune
Best Original Screenplay
Licorice Pizza
Belfast
King Richard
Don't Look Up
Being the Ricardos
Technical Categories
Best Cinematography
Dune
West Side Story
The Power of the Dog
Belfast
The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Costume Design
Cruella
Dune
West Side Story
House of Gucci
Cyrano
Best Film Editing
Dune
West Side Story
Belfast
King Richard
Tick, tick... Boom!
Best Makeup and Hair
Cruella
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Dune
House of Gucci
The Suicide Squad
Best Production Design
Dune
West Side Story
Nightmare Alley
The French Dispatch
Belfast
Best Original Score
Dune
The Power of the Dog
Spencer
Don't Look Up
The French Dispatch
Best Original Song
"Be Alive" from King Richard
"No Time to Die" from No Time to Die
"Dos Oruguitas" from Encanto
"Down to Joy" from Belfast
"Just Look Up" from Don't Look Up
Best Sound
Dune
West Side Story
No Time to Die
Belfast
Tick, tick... Boom!
Best Visual Effects
Dune
The Matrix Resurrections
Shang-Chi and the Ten Rings
Godzilla vs. Kong
Spiderman: No Way Home
Best Animated Feature
Encanto
Flee
Luca
The Mitchells vs. The Machines
Belle
Best Documentary
Summer of Soul
The Rescue
Flee
Attica
Procession
Best International Film
Drive My Car
The Worst Person in the World
Flee
A Hero
The Hand of God
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